Chasing Pure Locks: Friday, November 12th, 2021
TGIF!
This segment of 3 picks per day is 8-4 this week — strike while the iron is hot!
Pure Lock #1: Knicks at Hornets Over 224.5
The day after the Junder defeated the Pesky Pacers for us at long last, it only feels right to jump in on a Hornets Over. Especially in a matchup where the numbers back it up.
Offense: Knicks 4th. Hornets 8th.
Defense: Knicks 23rd. Hornets 27th.
Yes, this was the case when we took the Hornets-Grizzlies Over on Wednesday night that fell short in the end, but it was very much on pace, and we definitely still believe that two top-10 offenses + two bottom-10 defenses = take the Over!
Also, from Zach Lowe’s 10 Things column today: Only the Knicks and Rockets have given up more wide-open 3s than the Hornets, per NBA.com. Wide open 3s, music to an Overs’ ears.
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Pure Lock #2: Nets -9.5 at Pelicans
Our projections had the Nets -12.5 in this one. (This Under 213.5 also looks pretty good considering the Nets and Pelicans have both gone Under in 9 out of 12 games this season.)
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Pure Lock #3: Bulls +5.5 at Warriors
Listen, we really don’t like to bet against Steph. Like really, really. (E-Babs convinced us to take the Blazers last season when Steph dropped his career-high 62 points.)
But it’s been since October 28th since the Warriors played a team anywhere close to as good as the Bulls. The Warriors lost to the Grizzlies in that game and have since defeated the Thunder, Hornets, Pelicans, Rockets, Hawks and T-Wolves.
Vooch is out with Covid (get well soon, Vooch!), yet he was honestly holding the Bulls back in a lot of games from being even better than they already have been.
You best believe that we are also going to take the Over on Steph’s points to cover ourselves.
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We’ll be back late tonight with a recap, and rumor has it the Blog Train might be up and running.
We love this game!